166 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
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Mike Yastrzemski
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Yastrzemski is a sell — skill below league, no luck story.
His expected wOBA is .293, .022 below league average, and he has 166 plate appearances — past the point where xwOBA becomes reliable. The trajectory is stepping down across the sample, not up. His actual wOBA tracks close to that number, so there is no bad-luck excuse inflating the surface. His barrel rate is 4.5%, half the league average of 8.0%, and his hard-hit rate also sits below league. Those contact quality numbers are based on 110 batted balls, well past the 50–60 BBE stabilization threshold — they tell the same story. He walks and strikes out near league rates, so there is no skill outlier in any direction. The bat is what the numbers say it is, and this is the level he is at. Sell.
Sell
med0.59
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.293 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL110 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL110 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL110 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.293
lg avg .315 ▼−.022trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL166 / 160 PA
wOBA.321
lg avg .315 ▲+.006too early to trust
NOISE166 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL166 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL166 / 120 PA
BABIP.318
lg avg .295 ▲+.023too early to trust
NOISE110 / 800 BIP