Is Mike Yastrzemski a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Mike Yastrzemski's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

262 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL·LF

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

ON THE 10-DAY IL

Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.305); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60

ROSHR 4AVG .226R 25RBI 17SB 1

Yastrzemski is a hold — league average trending down.

His expected wOBA is .305, just ten points below league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA tracks similarly at .308, so there is no luck story inflating or depressing his line. The worry is direction: his xwOBA has been stepping down over the sample. His contact quality is a mixed bag — exit velocity and hard-hit rate are slightly above league, but barrel rate is below league. His walk rate is above average, his chase rate is below average, and his strikeout rate is near league average. None of these numbers are outliers, and none are noisy enough to suggest an impending shift. He is what he is right now, and that is a roughly league-average hitter trending in the wrong direction. Hold. 4 HR / 25 R / 17 RBI / 1 SB / .226 AVG make him a deep-league-only streaming option, not a standard-league hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %6.5%—−3.0% ▼vs his ~9.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.4 mphvs his norm —

170 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %43.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —

170 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm −3.0% ▼

170 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.305

lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —

262 / 160 PA

wOBA.308

lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —

262 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —

262 / 60 PA

Walk %10.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —

262 / 120 PA

BABIP.287

lg avg .295 ▼−.008vs his norm +.015 ▲BABIP is above his ~.272 norm — expect it to fall.

170 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

262 / 50 PA

Chase %26.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —

262 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.5%→8.1%signal4 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) lifted to career ~9.5% → projected 8.1%.

BABIP 0.287→0.281 regressednoise.226 AVG — BABIP 0.287 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.279 (xBA 0.230) → 0.281.

on-base + lineup25 R — his run rate over ~167 projected PA.

slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~167 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 54 G) over ~167 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons