MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Mike Yastrzemski
359 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Mike Yastrzemski

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.308); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .223R 6RBI 4SB 0

Yastrzemski is a hold — near league average, nothing unstable.

ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .250 YTD → .223 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.5%−3.0%vs his ~9.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.5 mph
90.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.5 mphvs his norm —
231 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.3%
43.3%*
lg avg 40.0% +3.3%vs his norm —
231 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.5%
norm6.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.5%vs his norm −3.0%
231 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.308
believable since May 29.308*
lg avg .315 −.007vs his norm —
359 / 160 PA
wOBA.303
.303*
lg avg .315 −.012vs his norm —
359 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.5%
24.5%*
lg avg 22.0% +2.5%vs his norm —
359 / 60 PA
Walk %10.0%
10.0%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.5%vs his norm —
359 / 120 PA
BABIP.279
norm.279*
lg avg .295 −.016vs his norm +.007 BABIP is above his ~.272 normexpect it to fall.
231 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.2%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA
Chase %26.1%
26.1%*
lg avg 28.5% −2.4%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.5%→7.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) lifted to career ~9.5% → projected 7.9%.
BABIP 0.279→0.284 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.279 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.286 (xBA 0.235) → 0.284.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 54 G) over ~37 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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