Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryTyler
6HR ←2
25R →27
19RBI →27
12SB ←9
.250AVG →.269
Current Season
A.J.CategoryTyler
1HR →2
8R →15
6RBI →15
4SB →5
.224AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.329)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Tyler Freeman
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.332)
A.J. Ewing: 6 HR / 25 R. Tyler Freeman: 2 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).