Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryConnor
7HR →10
20R →27
45RBI ←25
0SB →10
.184AVG →.193
Current Season
AdrianCategoryConnor
4HR4
9R →16
20RBI ←15
0SB →6
.192AVG →.208
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Del Castillo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.260)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Norby
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Adrian Del Castillo: 7 HR / 20 R. Connor Norby: 10 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).