Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryMarcell
10HR →13
27R ←25
25RBI →37
10SB ←0
.193AVG →.219
Current Season
ConnorCategoryMarcell
4HR →5
16R ←14
15RBI →21
6SB ←0
.208AVG ←.186
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Norby
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Marcell Ozuna
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.243 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Norby: 10 HR / 27 R. Marcell Ozuna: 13 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).