MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Del Castillo
Adrian Del Castillo
AZ · DH
Change to
Pavin Smith
AZ · DH
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pavin Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and average. Adrian Del Castillo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Pavin Smith wins 2 categories (R, AVG); Adrian Del Castillo wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Adrian Del Castillo
89.3
Pavin Smith
85.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Adrian Del Castillo
41.5%
Pavin Smith
31.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Adrian Del Castillo
6.4%
Pavin Smith
4.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Adrian Del Castillo
28.9%
Pavin Smith
23.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Adrian Del Castillo
13.6%
Pavin Smith
7.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Adrian Del Castillo
.264
Pavin Smith
.272
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Adrian Del Castillo
.200.220
lg AVG .295
now .192
.186
Pavin Smith
.200.220
lg AVG .295
now .125
.190

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Adrian Del Castillo
57
now 4
5
Pavin Smith
57
now 0
5
Runshigher is better
Adrian Del Castillo
2023.40
now 9
15
Pavin Smith
2023.40
now 1
17
RBIhigher is better
Adrian Del Castillo
2045.80
now 20
33
Pavin Smith
2045.80
now 1
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Adrian Del Castillo
.0001.20
now 0
0
Pavin Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAdrian Del Castillo — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePavin Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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