Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategorySpencer
6HR →11
18R →25
40RBI ←30
0SB0
.180AVG →.199
Current Season
AdrianCategorySpencer
4HR →8
9R →18
20RBI →22
0SB0
.192AVG →.210
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Del Castillo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.261)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Spencer Torkelson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Adrian Del Castillo: 6 HR / 18 R. Spencer Torkelson: 11 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).