Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryClayton
46K ←37
3.61ERA ←3.70
1.23WHIP ←1.24
4–8W ←1–3
1–2SV →6–11
Current Season
AdrianCategoryClayton
35K ←15
3.90ERA →2.30
1.07WHIP ←1.21
4W ←1
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Morejon
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Clayton Beeter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.89 is 0.71 above the ERA — regression coming
Adrian Morejon: 46 K / 3.61 ERA. Clayton Beeter: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).