Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryRico
56K ←36
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →3–7
1–6SV →4–7
Current Season
AndrewCategoryRico
17K →28
4.02ERA →0.71
1.28WHIP →0.63
1W →3
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Alvarez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.76)
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.113 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.10 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Alvarez: 56 K / 3.70 ERA. Rico Garcia: 36 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).