Rest of Season Projection
BriceCategoryHarrison
6HR6
25R ←23
25RBI →33
4SB ←0
.182AVG →.190
Current Season
BriceCategoryHarrison
4HR →5
14R ←10
14RBI14
2SB ←0
.204AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brice Matthews
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.255 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Harrison Bader
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brice Matthews: 6 HR / 25 R. Harrison Bader: 6 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).