Rest of Season Projection
BriceCategoryJac
7HR →14
27R →33
27RBI ←22
4SB ←2
.183AVG →.255
Current Season
BriceCategoryJac
4HR →6
14R →20
14RBI ←13
2SB ←1
.204AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brice Matthews
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.259 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brice Matthews: 7 HR / 27 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).