Rest of Season Projection
BriceCategoryJames
7HR →22
28R →78
28RBI →57
4SB →15
.186AVG →.255
Current Season
BriceCategoryJames
4HR →16
14R →53
14RBI →39
2SB →10
.204AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brice Matthews
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.262)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brice Matthews: 7 HR / 28 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).