623 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
James Wood
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.403, +0.088 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.344 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.high 0.78 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Wood is a buy — the contact is elite and the average is luck.
Stable, above-average skill — but an elevated, unstable BABIP means some of the average will give back. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %18.6%—+4.3% ▲vs his ~14.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.403, +0.088 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.344 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo95.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+6.4 mphvs his norm —
338 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %58.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+18.9%vs his norm —
338 / 50 BBE
Barrel %18.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+10.6%vs his norm +4.3% ▲
338 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.403
lg avg .315 ▲+.088vs his norm —
623 / 160 PA
wOBA.383
lg avg .315 ▲+.068vs his norm —
623 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
623 / 60 PA
Walk %16.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+7.9%vs his norm —
623 / 120 PA
BABIP.344
lg avg .295 ▲+.049vs his norm −.011 ▼BABIP is below his ~.355 norm — expect it to rise.
338 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
623 / 50 PA
Chase %21.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−7.2%vs his norm —
623 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 18.6%→17.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 18.6% (signal) tempered to career ~14.3% → projected 17.0%.
BABIP 0.344→0.327 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.344 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.315 (xBA 0.271) → 0.327.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (10 in 61 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.