Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategorySal
18HR18
53R ←52
53RBI →56
6SB →15
.270AVG ←.255
Current Season
BryceCategorySal
13HR ←12
34R34
34RBI →37
4SB →10
.261AVG.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.268 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Sal Stewart
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.367, +0.052 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper: 18 HR / 53 R. Sal Stewart: 18 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).