Who's more valuable, rest of season
J.T. Realmuto.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Carson Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
◀
RBI
SB
▶
AVG
▶
J.T. Realmuto wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Carson Kelly wins 2 (R, RBI).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.9
J.T. Realmuto
89.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.4%
J.T. Realmuto
41.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
6.1%
J.T. Realmuto
4.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.6%
J.T. Realmuto
31.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.2%
J.T. Realmuto
11.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.317
J.T. Realmuto
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .289
.240
J.T. Realmuto
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .220
.248
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
54.20
now 2
2
J.T. Realmuto
54.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2021.20
now 18
16
J.T. Realmuto
2021.20
now 11
11
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2020.20
now 17
15
J.T. Realmuto
2020.20
now 9
9
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0002.20
now 0
0
J.T. Realmuto
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyJ.T. Realmuto — hold.conf 0.60