Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryJ.T.
8HR →9
35R ←23
33RBI ←19
0SB →2
.258AVG ←.256
Current Season
CarsonCategoryJ.T.
2HR2
18R ←11
17RBI ←9
0SB →1
.289AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
J.T. Realmuto
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.252 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carson Kelly: 8 HR / 35 R. J.T. Realmuto: 9 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).