Rest of Season Projection
CedricCategoryColton
5HR →10
32R →38
27RBI →40
17SB ←2
.195AVG →.199
Current Season
CedricCategoryColton
3HR →4
19R ←17
16RBI →18
10SB ←1
.184AVG →.227
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.249 below league with no luck excuse
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 32 R. Colton Cowser: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).