Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJeff
4HR ←3
50R ←23
25RBI ←23
1SB →2
.227AVG →.256
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJeff
5HR ←2
36R ←15
18RBI ←15
1SB1
.269AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Meidroth
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Jeff McNeil
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
Chase Meidroth: 4 HR / 50 R. Jeff McNeil: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).