Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryMickey
4HR ←2
23R →35
39RBI ←13
0SB0
.204AVG →.253
Current Season
ChristianCategoryMickey
4HR ←0
10R ←8
17RBI ←3
0SB0
.246AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Vázquez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.256)
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Christian Vázquez: 4 HR / 23 R. Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).