Rest of Season Projection
MickeyCategoryPatrick
2HR →7
35R ←14
13RBI →21
0SB →5
.253AVG ←.213
Current Season
MickeyCategoryPatrick
0HR →2
8R ←6
3RBI →9
0SB →2
.333AVG ←.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.181 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 14 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).