MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYY · C
Change to
Portrait of Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLE · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Patrick Bailey.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Austin Wells’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Patrick Bailey wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Austin Wells wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Wells
89.3
Patrick Bailey
90.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Wells
44.1%
Patrick Bailey
38.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Wells
6.6%
Patrick Bailey
6.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Wells
30.1%
Patrick Bailey
32.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Wells
14.6%
Patrick Bailey
13.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Wells
.285
Patrick Bailey
.273
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Wells
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .178
.187
Patrick Bailey
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .147
.207

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Wells
55.20
now 4
4
Patrick Bailey
55.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Austin Wells
2020
now 15
16
Patrick Bailey
2020
now 6
8
RBIhigher is better
Austin Wells
2014.20
now 7
7
Patrick Bailey
2014.20
now 9
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Wells
.0004.20
now 0
0
Patrick Bailey
.0004.20
now 2
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAustin Wells — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Buy LowPatrick Bailey — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.68
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