Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryMike
11HR ←8
36R →44
38RBI ←30
2SB2
.210AVG →.237
Current Season
ColtonCategoryMike
4HR ←3
17R →25
18RBI ←17
1SB1
.227AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.309)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Mike Yastrzemski
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 36 R. Mike Yastrzemski: 8 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).