MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of David Peterson
David Peterson
NYM·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
ATL·P
Sell High high·0.80
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

DavidCategoryGrant
108K 101
4.28ERA 4.24
1.41WHIP 1.37
4–8W 4–8
0SV0

Current Season

DavidCategoryGrant
56K 53
5.18ERA 3.95
1.59WHIP 1.33
3W3
1SV 0

What Each Player's System Trusts

David Peterson
  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.38)
Grant Holmes
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.32 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming

David Peterson: 108 K / 4.28 ERA. Grant Holmes: 101 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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