Rest of Season Projection
DillonCategoryWillson
14HR →16
44R ←42
62RBI ←53
0SB →2
.263AVG.264
Current Season
DillonCategoryWillson
13HR ←11
27R ←26
38RBI ←33
0SB →1
.241AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dillon Dingler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.250 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Dingler projects 14 HR and a .263 AVG; Contreras sits at 16 HR and .264. Contreras holds a slight edge in both categories. Both are buy calls; the numbers are nearly identical.