Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryWillson
28HR ←16
67R ←42
59RBI ←53
8SB ←2
.255AVG →.264
Current Season
AaronCategoryWillson
17HR ←11
43R ←26
38RBI ←33
5SB ←1
.248AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Judge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.415, +0.100 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Judge outpaces Contreras by 12 HR (28 vs 16) but trails in AVG (.255 vs .264). The HR edge drives value in points formats; the AVG gap narrows in roto.