Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryBryce
28HR ←18
67R ←54
59RBI ←54
8SB ←6
.255AVG →.269
Current Season
AaronCategoryBryce
17HR ←13
43R ←34
38RBI ←34
5SB ←4
.248AVG →.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Judge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.415, +0.100 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Judge's 28 HR outpaces Harper's 18; the AVG gap ( .255 vs .269) is slim. Both are buy verdicts; Judge's counting stats create the separation.