Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryYordan
18HR →24
54R →61
54RBI →61
6SB ←2
.269AVG →.309
Current Season
BryceCategoryYordan
13HR →20
34R →39
34RBI →39
4SB ←1
.261AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Yordan Alvarez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.493, +0.178 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper: 18 HR / 54 R. Yordan Alvarez: 24 HR / 61 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

