Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryJames
18HR →22
54R →78
54RBI →58
6SB →15
.269AVG ←.259
Current Season
BryceCategoryJames
13HR →16
34R →53
34RBI →39
4SB →10
.261AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.438, +0.123 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Harper leads in AVG (.269 vs .259) while Wood outpaces in HR (22 vs 18) and projects 15 SB. Wood's counting stats support the buy; Harper's surface trails his skill, a buy-low.