Rest of Season Projection
EduardoCategoryMike
91K →99
4.38ERA4.38
1.37WHIP ←1.40
5–11W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
EduardoCategoryMike
52K →54
2.24ERA ←5.40
1.19WHIP ←1.45
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eduardo Rodriguez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.53 is 2.29 above the ERA — regression coming
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.322 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 91 K / 4.38 ERA. Mike Burrows: 99 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).