Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryTaylor
12HR ←3
52R ←34
48RBI ←25
13SB ←11
.254AVG ←.181
Current Season
EllyCategoryTaylor
12HR ←0
40R ←19
37RBI ←14
10SB ←6
.280AVG ←.208
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Taylor Walls
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.301 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.245 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Taylor Walls: 3 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).