MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Ethan Roberts
Ethan Roberts
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ethan Roberts wins 2 (K, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ethan Roberts
93.6
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ethan Roberts
9.8%
Paul Blackburn
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ethan Roberts
15.5%
Paul Blackburn
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ethan Roberts
25.1%
Paul Blackburn
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ethan Roberts
44.7%
Paul Blackburn
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ethan Roberts
3.9%
Paul Blackburn
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ethan Roberts
.342
Paul Blackburn
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ethan Roberts
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.69
3.70
Paul Blackburn
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.62
WHIPlower is better
Ethan Roberts
.9001.62
now 1.00
1.24
Paul Blackburn
.9001.62
now 1.44
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ethan Roberts
4023.60
now 12
18
Paul Blackburn
4023.60
now 16
15
Winshigher is better
Ethan Roberts
.0004.20
now 0
00
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEthan Roberts — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.87
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet