Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryJacob
9HR ←2
24R →32
28RBI →33
6SB ←4
.234AVG →.262
Current Season
EzequielCategoryJacob
4HR ←3
17R →18
20RBI ←19
4SB ←2
.216AVG →.292
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Tovar
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.275 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jacob Wilson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
Ezequiel Tovar: 9 HR / 24 R. Jacob Wilson: 2 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).