Rest of Season Projection
GaryCategoryKyle
10HR →11
37R ←36
37RBI ←31
0SB0
.202AVG →.219
Current Season
GaryCategoryKyle
5HR5
15R →20
15RBI →17
0SB0
.191AVG →.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gary Sánchez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.348)
Kyle Manzardo
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Gary Sánchez: 10 HR / 37 R. Kyle Manzardo: 11 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).