Rest of Season Projection
J.P.CategoryNick
8HR ←1
46R ←39
35RBI ←19
2SB →4
.223AVG ←.214
Current Season
J.P.CategoryNick
9HR ←1
29R ←10
22RBI ←5
1SB1
.215AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.P. Crawford
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.354, +0.039 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.045 below the surface — regression coming
J.P. Crawford: 8 HR / 46 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).