Rest of Season Projection
J.T.CategoryMike
98K →99
3.90ERA ←4.38
1.38WHIP ←1.40
4–8W3–7
0SV0
Current Season
J.T.CategoryMike
52K →54
2.87ERA ←5.40
1.14WHIP ←1.45
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.T. Ginn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 1.03 above the ERA — regression coming
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.322 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
J.T. Ginn: 98 K / 3.90 ERA. Mike Burrows: 99 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).