Rest of Season Projection
JacCategoryTyler
14HR ←3
34R ←31
22RBI →31
2SB →10
.254AVG →.270
Current Season
JacCategoryTyler
6HR ←2
20R ←15
13RBI →15
1SB →5
.242AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tyler Freeman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 34 R. Tyler Freeman: 3 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).