Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryWilliam
8HR →11
16R →48
16RBI →55
4SB ←2
.195AVG →.286
Current Season
JakeCategoryWilliam
0HR →4
4R →31
4RBI →36
1SB1
.137AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Rogers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.258)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.333, +0.018 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jake Rogers: 8 HR / 16 R. William Contreras: 11 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).