Rest of Season Projection
JoeCategoryTyler
7HR →10
24R ←20
20RBI →30
0SB0
.232AVG ←.212
Current Season
JoeCategoryTyler
0HR →4
7R →11
6RBI →17
0SB0
.209AVG ←.193
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joe Mack
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.270)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tyler Stephenson
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.238 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Joe Mack: 7 HR / 24 R. Tyler Stephenson: 10 HR / 20 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).