MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Kenley Jansen
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Riley O'Brien
Riley O'Brien
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kenley Jansen.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Riley O'Brien’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Kenley Jansen wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Riley O'Brien wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kenley Jansen
93.9
Riley O'Brien
97.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kenley Jansen
12.8%
Riley O'Brien
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kenley Jansen
27.0%
Riley O'Brien
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kenley Jansen
30.1%
Riley O'Brien
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kenley Jansen
36.1%
Riley O'Brien
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kenley Jansen
9.3%
Riley O'Brien
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kenley Jansen
.298
Riley O'Brien
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kenley Jansen
2.565.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.80
3.70
Riley O'Brien
2.565.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
4.58
WHIPlower is better
Kenley Jansen
.9001.51
now 1.20
1.24
Riley O'Brien
.9001.51
now 0.99
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kenley Jansen
4035.80
now 19
6
Riley O'Brien
4035.80
now 27
5
Winshigher is better
Kenley Jansen
.0004.20
now 1
00
Riley O'Brien
.0004.20
now 3
01
Saveshigher is better
Kenley Jansen
.00019.20
now 7
13
Riley O'Brien
.00019.20
now 14
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKenley Jansen — hold.conf 0.50
SellRiley O'Brien — sell.conf 0.83
Tweet