Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategorySpencer
9HR →14
33R ←29
36RBI36
0SB0
.246AVG ←.204
Current Season
MichaelCategorySpencer
4HR →8
12R →18
13RBI →22
0SB0
.269AVG ←.210
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Conforto
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.389)
Spencer Torkelson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Michael Conforto: 9 HR / 33 R. Spencer Torkelson: 14 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).