Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryNick
18HR →19
47R →60
60RBI →63
5SB →9
.295AVG ←.249
Current Season
MichaelCategoryNick
13HR ←10
28R →39
36RBI →41
3SB →6
.307AVG ←.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Harris II
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.391, +0.076 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.392, +0.077 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Michael Harris II: 18 HR / 47 R. Nick Kurtz: 19 HR / 60 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).