Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryNick
28HR ←19
67R ←60
59RBI →63
8SB →9
.255AVG ←.249
Current Season
AaronCategoryNick
17HR ←10
43R ←39
38RBI →41
5SB →6
.248AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Judge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.415, +0.100 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.392, +0.077 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Judge leads with 28 HR and .255 AVG, both clearing Kurtz's 19 HR and .249 AVG. The 9-HR and 6-AVG gaps define the edge for Judge in ratio leagues.