Rest of Season Projection
MitchCategoryWilliam
6HR →12
35R →48
17RBI →56
0SB →2
.171AVG →.290
Current Season
MitchCategoryWilliam
2HR →4
12R →31
6RBI →36
0SB →1
.187AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitch Garver
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.295)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Mitch Garver: 6 HR / 35 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).