Rest of Season Projection
RicoCategoryTyler
37K →46
3.62ERA ←3.65
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W →4–10
4–7SV ←0
Current Season
RicoCategoryTyler
28K28
0.71ERA ←3.16
0.63WHIP ←1.17
3W →4
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.113 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.10 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.74)
Rico Garcia: 37 K / 3.62 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 46 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).