MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Stephen Kolek wins 2 (K, W); Troy Melton wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Troy Melton
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Troy Melton
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Troy Melton
23.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Troy Melton
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Troy Melton
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
Troy Melton
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
.303
Troy Melton
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Stephen Kolek
24.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.82
Troy Melton
24.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
3.26
WHIPlower is better
Stephen Kolek
.9001.47
now 0.94
1.32
Troy Melton
.9001.47
now 0.95
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Stephen Kolek
4036.20
now 19
27
Troy Melton
4036.20
now 4
11
Winshigher is better
Stephen Kolek
.0008
now 3
36
Troy Melton
.0008
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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