MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Warren
Will Warren
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Troy Melton wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Will Warren wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Troy Melton
96.3
Will Warren
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Troy Melton
13.0%
Will Warren
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Troy Melton
23.6%
Will Warren
22.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Troy Melton
31.6%
Will Warren
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Troy Melton
35.9%
Will Warren
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Troy Melton
5.5%
Will Warren
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Troy Melton
.271
Will Warren
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Troy Melton
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
3.00
Will Warren
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.22
4.31
WHIPlower is better
Troy Melton
.9001.48
now 0.95
1.20
Will Warren
.9001.48
now 1.20
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Troy Melton
4096.40
now 4
13
Will Warren
4096.40
now 70
63
Winshigher is better
Troy Melton
.00012.20
now 1
25
Will Warren
.00012.20
now 7
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
SellWill Warren — sell.conf 0.65
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