190 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Alejandro Osuna
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .260HR 2R 14RBI 12SB 4
Osuna is a hold — league average with no edge.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .256 YTD → .260 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %0.7%—−5.2% ▼vs his ~5.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.8 mphvs his norm —
139 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.5%vs his norm —
139 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.3%vs his norm −5.2% ▼
139 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —
190 / 160 PA
wOBA.305
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
190 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.3%vs his norm —
190 / 60 PA
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
190 / 120 PA
BABIP.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm +.043 ▲BABIP is above his ~.256 norm — expect it to fall.
139 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA
Chase %30.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.7%→3.8%signal2 HR — Barrel% 0.7% (signal) lifted to career ~5.9% → projected 3.8%.
BABIP 0.299→0.300 regressednoise.260 AVG — BABIP 0.299 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.300 (xBA 0.260) → 0.300.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~151 projected PA.
slugging + lineup12 RBI — his RBI rate over ~151 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (3 in 35 G) over ~151 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.