week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Beck Way
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.02); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Way is a hold — early sample, league-average results, nothing to chase
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.02)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
73 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
73 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
105 / 200 TBF
xERA5.02
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.92vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
105 / 200 TBF
ERA3.86
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.24vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
23.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
105 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
105 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.333
lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
73 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
105 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
105 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.4 mphvs his norm —
389 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.0%→20.8%signal0 K — K% 20.0% (signal) lifted to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 20.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.02noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.02 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 9.5% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.46 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.