MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ben Brown
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Ben Brown

CHC·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Brown is a sell-high — his ERA is BABIP luck.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.4%
42.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL132 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.8%
6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL132 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.272
.272
lg avg .315 ▼−.043trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL201 / 200 TBF
xERA2.91
2.91
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.19trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL201 / 200 TBF
ERA1.92
1.92
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.18too early to trust
NOISE51.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.4%
26.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL201 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.5%
7.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL201 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.244
.244
lg avg .295 ▼−.051too early to trust
NOISE132 / 800 BIP