week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Blake Weiman
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.06); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Weiman is a hold — the sample is too thin to call it either way.
ROS projects K 0 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.06)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.4%vs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
57 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.271
lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
74 / 200 TBF
xERA3.06
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.04vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
74 / 200 TBF
ERA2.70
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.40vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
16.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
74 / 70 TBF
Walk %2.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.3%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
74 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.346
lg avg .295 ▲+.051vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
57 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
74 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —
74 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.9 mphvs his norm —
268 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.3%→21.0%signal0 K — K% 20.3% (signal) lifted to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 21.0% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.06noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.06 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 2.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 3% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.17 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.