MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brent Suter
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Brent Suter

ATL·P
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (3.95); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSK 0ERA 3.86WHIP 1.29W 0–0SV 0

Suter is a hold — league-average and stable across the board

His expected ERA is 3.95, a hair under the league average of 4.10, and the sample of 377 batters is past the point where that number becomes reliable. Nothing underneath it is being propped up or dragged down by luck. He allows a 31% hard-hit rate against a league average of 40%, and his expected wOBA allowed of .306 is close to the .315 league mark. He strikes out 20.7% of batters and walks 6.9%, both slightly better than average, with a swinging-strike rate of 11.0% matching league. His expected ERA has been stepping down across the sample, which keeps him from being a sell. There is no instability here to trade against, in either direction. Hold. A 3.86 ERA and 1.29 WHIP at 0 SV is waiver fodder — hold only as deep-league injury filler.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %20.7%—+0.7% ▲vs his ~20.0% career norm
  • Walk %6.9%—+0.6% ▲vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.95)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.0%
31.0%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.0%vs his norm —
271 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.6%
6.6%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
271 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.306
believable since Jul 2.306*
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —
377 / 200 TBF
xERA3.95
3.95*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.15vs his norm —
377 / 200 TBF
ERA3.36
3.36*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.74vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
91 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.7%
norm20.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm +0.7% ▲
377 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.9%
norm6.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm +0.6% ▲
377 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.296
.296*
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
271 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.0%
11.0%*
lg avg 11.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
377 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.5%
29.5%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
377 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo87.8 mph
87.8 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−6.2 mphvs his norm —
1526 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.7%→20.5%signal0 K — K% 20.7% (signal) tempered to career ~20.0% → projected 20.5% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.95signal3.86 ERA — xERA 3.95 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 33 IP.
BB% 6.9% + contactsignal1.29 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.32 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop3.86 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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