week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brent Suter
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (3.97); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5ERA 3.88WHIP 1.32W 0–0SV 0
Suter is a hold — near-average across the board.
ROS projects K 28 YTD → 5 ROS, ERA 4.09 YTD → 3.88 ROS, WHIP 1.27 YTD → 1.32 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %7.3%—+1.0% ▲vs his ~6.3% career norm
- Strikeout %20.3%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~20.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.97)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.8%vs his norm —
255 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
255 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —
355 / 200 TBF
xERA3.97
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.13vs his norm —
355 / 200 TBF
ERA3.52
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.58vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
84.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
355 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +1.0% ▲
355 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.310
lg avg .295 ▲+.015vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
255 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
355 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
355 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−6.2 mphvs his norm —
1436 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.3%→20.2%signal5 K — K% 20.3% (signal) tempered to career ~20.0% → projected 20.2% over ~6 remaining IP.
xERA 3.97signal3.88 ERA — xERA 3.97 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 33 IP.
BB% 7.3% + contactsignal1.32 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.300 gives a 1.36 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.