week 19
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Bryse Wilson
data as of August 5, 2026·week 19
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.97); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Wilson is a hold — league-average skill yields no edge.
ROS projects K 0 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %17.6%—+1.1% ▲vs his ~16.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.97)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed49.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.3%vs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed2.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —
71 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
91 / 200 TBF
xERA4.97
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.87vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
91 / 200 TBF
ERA4.87
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.77vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
20.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm +1.1% ▲
91 / 70 TBF
Walk %2.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm −5.3% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.5% norm — expect it to rise.
91 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.382
lg avg .295 ▲+.087vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
71 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
91 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.6%vs his norm —
91 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.5 mphvs his norm —
328 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.6%→16.9%signal0 K — K% 17.6% (signal) tempered to career ~16.5% → projected 16.9% over ~18 remaining IP.
xERA 4.97noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.97 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 2.2% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 2% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.303 gives a 1.21 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.